Winning MTTs - the luck factor
Just won another MTT (1st) - been a little while since I bagged a 1st, but one thing struck me big time, and I'm looking here to see if others agree...
Mid game, and definatley when it comes to the last 2 tables, the only times I've come 1st (really, 2nd downwards don't count here) - I've had to knowingly take some coin flip punts. You know, when someone keeps pushing all in or mega raising and you simply HAVE to call sooner or later or the antes and the blinds will drop you back too far to be a contender for 1st. The times I mean are when you call with A9 off, or the likes, putting the aggressor on pretty much anything and hoping your Ace holds up. Or pushing all-in to pre-empt the aggressor with something like KJ.
I've definately noticed, to get the amount of chips needed to make the final table a proper game, and not bingo (which it is for all the lower stacks), I HAVE to make some tough calls where I know it's 50/50 I'll lose half my hard earned stack.
Some good examples today were a guy constantly pushing all-in. I called with A9 off, he had K7 or similar. I won. Another chap doing it, I called with A4 I think, and beat him, just - had chips to spare here. And several occasions, even on the final table, calling all-ins to find my high cards were up against hands like 64off, or K2 off !
Without those wins, I'd be an also-ran clambering just to make 10th. With those wins I was chip leader by a 10k margin, moving up to a 20k lead. Sat at the final table with a 20k lead, then moved to a 50k lead. At this stage I had enough chips to call anything and soon won. The final hand was daft. He mega bluffed, and I called with Top pair, he had nothing (and were were nearly equal chips doh!). At one stage on the final table I went down to 2nd, it was no cakewalk.
I'm just fairly convinced that without extraordinary luck you simply MUST take some big gambles if you wan't 1st, liek it or not (and you probably notice I don't like gambling lol)
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