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The odds do not change per hand. Whether it is a certain flop coming or being dealt random hole cards, the odds are the exact same every hand.
To illustrate this fact: You are dealt AA. The odds of this are 220:1. Very next hand, you are dealt AA. What are the odds of this? 220:1. They are not additive or multiplicative. They are individual statistics, in which one random shuffle of the deck is not reflected in any previous random shuffle. Another illustration: Roulette. Has anyone see the new (circa 2002) digital roulette boards, which show the previous (usually 20-30) landed-on numbers? Why? To make players commit the gambler's fallacy. "Well, it has hit red the last 10 spins, so it must be due to hit black this time!" False. There are 38 (correct me if I am wrong) spots on a roulette wheel, giving you 37:1 odds to land on a particular number. 18 are red, 18 are black, giving you 28:18 or 14:9 odds one of the colors. So, if it has landed black for 10 straight times, the odds of it landing black on the 11th is...14:9. The previous flops, pocket cards, or other hands have absolutely NOTHING to do with the current hand, it is important for the sake of your bankroll to NOT think that way. |
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The voice of reason. I thought you might have an opinion on this Borgo!
![]() But what about: Law of averages - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia ? |
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