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Old 01-22-2008, 06:10 PM
KingBorgo KingBorgo is offline
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The odds do not change per hand. Whether it is a certain flop coming or being dealt random hole cards, the odds are the exact same every hand.

To illustrate this fact: You are dealt AA. The odds of this are 220:1. Very next hand, you are dealt AA. What are the odds of this? 220:1. They are not additive or multiplicative. They are individual statistics, in which one random shuffle of the deck is not reflected in any previous random shuffle.

Another illustration: Roulette. Has anyone see the new (circa 2002) digital roulette boards, which show the previous (usually 20-30) landed-on numbers? Why? To make players commit the gambler's fallacy. "Well, it has hit red the last 10 spins, so it must be due to hit black this time!" False. There are 38 (correct me if I am wrong) spots on a roulette wheel, giving you 37:1 odds to land on a particular number. 18 are red, 18 are black, giving you 28:18 or 14:9 odds one of the colors. So, if it has landed black for 10 straight times, the odds of it landing black on the 11th is...14:9.

The previous flops, pocket cards, or other hands have absolutely NOTHING to do with the current hand, it is important for the sake of your bankroll to NOT think that way.
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Old 01-22-2008, 07:05 PM
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hellwung hellwung is offline
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The voice of reason. I thought you might have an opinion on this Borgo!
But what about: Law of averages - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia ?
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Old 01-22-2008, 07:10 PM
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hellwung hellwung is offline
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Sorry Dunbar I missed your post... And now I've read it I have a headache
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Old 01-22-2008, 11:42 PM
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Assistanc3 Assistanc3 is offline
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yes Nation I have read it
I think what most are missing is the word he used "maybe"


it's called probabilities.

probabilities generates odds, odds generate statistics

you can sit there and flip coins all day if you want,
hellwung and I will flop are flushes


side note: we are using wiki as our references?
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